Vientiane, Laos—Southeast Asian leaders will hold talks with a Myanmar junta representative at a summit on Wednesday as they try to kickstart faltering diplomatic efforts to broker an end to the country’s bloody civil war.
Rising tensions in the disputed South China Sea (SCS) will also be on the agenda at the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) gathering, after months of violent clashes between Chinese vessels and Philippine and Vietnamese fishermen.
ASEAN has tried to no avail for three years to find a negotiated solution to the Myanmar crisis, which has left thousands dead and forced millions to flee their homes.
The bloc barred junta leaders from its summits in the wake of their February 2021 coup and the generals refused invitations to send a “non-political” representative instead.
But the junta has backed down and sent a senior foreign ministry official to the three-day meet in Laos—its first representation at a top-level gathering in three and a half years.
The U-turn comes two weeks after the military issued an unprecedented invitation to its enemies for talks aimed at ending the conflict, following a series of battlefield defeats.
Weeks after it ousted Aung San Suu Kyi’s elected government, the junta agreed to a “five-point consensus” plan with ASEAN to restore peace, but then ignored it and pushed ahead with a bloody crackdown on dissent and opposition to its rule.
Officials hope the attendance of Aung Kyaw Moe, permanent secretary at the Myanmar foreign ministry, signals some new willingness from the junta to engage with diplomacy.
Malaysian Foreign Minister Mohamad Hasan, whose country takes over the ASEAN chair after the summit, said it was time for Myanmar to cooperate.
“Myanmar also has to listen to ASEAN. They have to abide by the ASEAN charter because it’s part of ASEAN,” he told reporters.
But Daniel Kritenbrink, the top US diplomat for East Asia, voiced doubts at the idea the junta was moderating.
He said that Secretary of State Antony Blinken, who is representing the United States at the ASEAN meeting, would press for the junta to take steps such as reducing violence, releasing political prisoners, and engaging with the opposition.
“Unfortunately, we have seen virtually zero progress on any of those priorities,” he said.
South China Sea squalls
The Myanmar crisis has dominated every high-level meeting since the coup but the bloc has been divided, with Indonesia, Malaysia and the Philippines leading calls for tougher action against the generals.
Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos is also expected to push discussions on the South China Sea, where Chinese coast guard and other vessels have rammed, deployed water cannons, and blocked Philippine government vessels in recent months.
Earlier this month Vietnam condemned China’s “brutal behavior” after 10 of its fishermen were beaten with iron bars and robbed of thousands of dollars’ worth of fish and equipment.
Beijing claims almost the entirety of the South China Sea, a waterway of immense strategic importance through which trillions of dollars in trade transits every year.
Four ASEAN members—the Philippines, Vietnam, Indonesia and Brunei—have competing claims to various small islands and reefs.
After holding talks among themselves on Wednesday, the 10 ASEAN members will meet with leaders from China, South Korea, Japan and India on Thursday.
The Middle East crisis and the war in Ukraine are expected to feature.
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