Philippine stocks climbed Friday after the headline inflation rate dropped to 1.9 percent in September 2024, the lowest in 52 months.
The Philippine Stock Exchange index rallied 79 points, or 1.07 percent, to close at 7,467.92, while the broader all-shares index picked up 59 points, or 1.48 percent, to reach 4,041.65.
“Philippine shares were bought up towards closing as investors were positively surprised by the latest Philippine consumer price index print for September, which came in at just below 2 percent, giving the monetary authority greater control on when to relax interest rates,” Regina Capital and Development Corp. head of sales Luis Limlingan said.
Inflation in the first nine months of 2024 averaged 3.4 percent, falling within the government’s target range of 2 percent to 4 percent for the year.
The Philippine Statistics Authority attributed the slower September inflation rate to a decrease in the cost of food and non-alcoholic beverages. Transport costs also fell more sharply in September compared to the previous month.
US stocks, meanwhile, fell overnight due to Middle East tension and upcoming payroll reports.
“Markets remain volatile after Iran’s missile strike on Israel and Israel’s ground operations,” Limlingan said.
Four of six sectoral indices ended in the green, with industrial rising by 1.93 percent and financials increasing by 1.50 percent.
Property, on the other hand, declined 1.02 percent, while mining and oil slipped by 0.75 percent.
Value turnover was moderate at P5.91 billion, with 107 advancers and 87 decliners.
Monde Nissin Corp. was the top index gainer, increasing by 6.51 percent to P10.80, while Wilcon Depot Inc was at the bottom, declining by 2.64 percent to P16.94.
Meanwhile, Hong Kong stocks resumed their China-fueled rally Friday on a broadly positive day for Asian markets, while oil prices extended gains after soaring on fears over the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. With AFP
Buyers were back in the driving seat in Hong Kong after retreating on Thursday for the first time since Beijing last week unveiled a raft of economy-boosting measures that have brought investors flooding back to the market.
The stimulus — mainly targeting the property sector — has seen stocks in the city and mainland China enjoy a blistering run of more than 20 percent on hopes that Beijing can finally reignite growth.
The Hang Seng Index climbed almost three percent Friday, with tech firms leading the charge, while developers — who have seen eye-watering gains over the past week — fluctuated as investors awaited cues from China.
Mainland markets are closed for the Golden Week holiday.
There were also gains in Tokyo at the end of a rollercoaster week dictated by a volatile yen after the election of Shigeru Ishiba as prime minister.
The yen initially surged to less than 142 per dollar on the news, owing to Ishiba’s previous support for Bank of Japan interest rate hikes.
But it sank later in the week to more than 147 after he said the country was not yet ready for a third increase this year.
It was around 146.20 on Friday.
“Investors are likely to remain on edge as they weigh the evolving monetary policy signals from Japan against shifting geopolitical developments,” said ACY Securities currency analyst Luca Santos.
Singapore, Seoul, Wellington, Bangkok and Manila rose along with London, Paris and Frankfurt, though Sydney, Taipei, Mumbai and Jakarta edged down.
Investors are now awaiting the release of key US jobs data later in the day, which they hope could provide an idea about the Federal Reserve’s thinking on whether or not to cut rates again this month, and if so by how much.
In the Middle East, speculation about Israel’s response to the scores of missiles fired at it by arch for Iran on Tuesday has stoked concern that the region could erupt into a wider conflict.
Crude has risen around 10 percent since that attack on supply fears, while China’s drive to reignite its vast economy has the potential to cause a demand surge.
Both main contracts rocketed around five percent Thursday when US President Joe Biden said he was “discussing” possible Israeli strikes on Iranian oil sites in retaliation for Tehran’s barrage. However, they were essentially flat in Asian trade.
As Israel continues air and ground attacks on Hezbollah in Lebanon, Iran — which arms and funds the militants — said it would step up its response in the event of a retaliation.
Still, IG market analyst Tony Sycamore said it was unlikely Iran’s oil would be targeted owing to the fact it could rekindle inflation just as global central banks fight to bring it down.
“Instead, Israel is more likely to target critical weapons factories and military installations, similar to actions taken in April,” he wrote.
“In the aftermath, there is hope for a return to the shadow conflict that has been ongoing between Israel and Iran’s regional proxies since the 7 October Hamas attack.”
He added that if the crisis did escalate into a direct confrontation, “there’s a risk that Iranian oil (four percent of global supply) could be cut off by embargos or military actions”.
“The potential loss of Iranian supply might be offset by the return of Libyan oil and increased Saudi production, as voluntary supply cuts are set to expire on 1 December,” he said. With AFP
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