THE Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) said on Tuesday that La Niña could persist until the first quarter of 2025.
Pagasa Administrator Nathaniel Servando said there was a 70 percent chance of La Niña forming in August-September-October season based on climate models.
He added that climate monitoring and analyses have shown further cooling of the sea surface temperatures across the central and eastern equatorial Pacific.
Pagasa Administrator Nathaniel Servando
Servando said that this indicates that the ENSO (El Niño Southern Oscillation) Alert and Warning System was now raised to La Niña Alert.
He said weak La Niña or La Niña-like conditions would be felt before the year ends until the first quarter of next year.
Two to three storms were predicted to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility in July, while 13 to 16 more tropical cyclones were expected to visit the country until end of the year.
“Tropical cyclones tend to bring more rain, that is why we need to be ready,” Servando said.
Pagasa said La Niña is characterized by unusually cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures across the central and eastern equatorial Pacific.
These could result in higher tropical cyclone occurrence and above normal rainfall that could trigger floods and landslides in vulnerable areas.
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